Challenges of Applying Risk Management to Terrorism Security Policy
Henry H. Willis, RAND
Junio 24 de 2008                                                                               Testimony submitted for the record to the House Homeland Security Committee, Subcommittee on Transportation Security and Infrastructure Protection on June 24, 2008.
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"Deadly Deception: Arms Transfer Diversion," in Small Arms Survey 2008: Risk and Resilience                                                 Matt Schroeder, FAS
Julio  2008                                                                                                         On 17 March 1999 a Ukrainian-registered Ilyushin-76 cargo aircraft was nearing the end of its transcontinental flight from Amman, Jordan, to Iquitos, Peru, when something very unusual happened. As the lumbering aircraft passed over southern Colombia, it disgorged several parachute-rigged pallets, which floated down into the rebel-infested jungles below. On the pallets were hundreds of surplus assault rifles ostensibly destined for the Peruvian military, but diverted by high-ranking Peruvian officials to the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), a 40-year-old insurgent group known for its involvement in drug trafficking and kidnapping. Over the next five months, the Ilyushin would make three more trips over Colombia, delivering a total of 10,000 AKM rifles to the FARC before the Jordanian government learned of the diversion from Colombian officials and impounded the rest of the weapons. Had the Colombian military failed to uncover the scheme, the FARC might have received the other 40,000 rifles—an arsenal ‘comparable . . . to what a regular army might have’, observed Peruvian president Alberto Fujimori, who was subsequently forced into exile after news of his regime’s involvement in the diversion scheme became public (LAWR, 2000).
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Man-portable Air Defence Systems (MANPADS)
James Bevan and Matt Schroeder, FAS
2008                                                                                           Man-portable air defence systems have received increasing political attention in recent years, because of the demonstrable risk that they pose to both military and civilian aircraft. They have been catalogued in some of the most poorly secured national stockpiles. In many more cases, questions remain about their numbers and the security measures in place to protect them from diversion. Because of the threat they pose and the fact that they have become a highly politicized issue, MANPADS have been one of the driving forces behind a number of international initiatives to secure, stabilize, or destroy surplus stocks. Although MANPADS remain a problem in their own right, they have helped focus the lens of international scrutiny on the dangers associated with surpluses of all varieties of conventional munitions.
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Venezuela: ¿Reforma política o colapso del régimen?
CRISIS GROUP
Julio 23 2008                                                                                    El curso radical de Hugo Chávez y su revolución bolivariana cada vez más autocrática están sometidos a una presión creciente por parte de antiguos partidarios que se han distanciado debido a la administración ineficiente del gobierno, la escasez de alimentos, la inflación, la inseguridad pública y la corrupción.
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